The New Year Past and Future
Staff Host Account
/ Categories: Islam Times-English

The New Year Past and Future

 Multiple wars, coups, sanctions and trade disputes dominated the US political agenda.  War budgets grew, military sales increased and frictions between the US and Saudi Arabia bubbled to the surface . . . and dissipated. We will proceed to provide a realistic assessment of the US in world politics during the past year, as a prelude to what we can expect in the coming year – 2019. US policy followed along the lines of previous presidents and military advisers:  pursuing wars in Syria, Afghanistan, Iraq, Yemen and Somalia; adding military bases in Eastern Europe and the Baltics; promoting economic sanction against Iran, Russia, China and North Korea and adding minor ones against traditional allies in Europe and East Asia. These measures did not radically alter trade relations even as divergences emerged between the President and his senior cabinet Generals, several of whom resigned. Resignations and dismissals in the executive branch reflected the division over President Trump’s military withdrawals from Syria and Afghanistan, his efforts to lower military costs and losses in regions of no profit or progress.  Trump’s opponents objected to his long-term commitments and efforts to finance economic spending and growth at home and abroad. The Democratic Party pushed hard to increase or at least maintain a military presence and commitments and to engage in symbolic hostile gesture against Russia (Russophobia) and North Korea. Shadow boxing highlighted internal partisan disagreements over immigration.  Trump promised a border wall, the Democrats a fence.  Both followed the same restrictive immigration policies and expelled millions of Central Americans and Mexicans, as did their predecessors. Domestic policy, especially the major reduction of taxes for the very rich, was wholeheartedly backed by both parties. Despite their political propaganda divergences the Democrats voted for the rich and denounced the Republicans.  The Republicans took credit for the tax ‘reform’ and credited it for ‘economic growth”. Both parties and branches of government called for billion-dollar infrastructures funding and nothing was done. Both engaged in partisan ‘conflicts’ over healthcare and educational reforms but nothing was done. The respectable press blamed President Trump for avoiding wars, colluding with Russia and threatening the global free-market economy, without recognizing the collaboration of the Democrats who engaged in their own version of global warfare. In real terms, the two parties followed parallel policies at home and abroad, while engaging in harsh rhetorical combat. The key issue was the intense partisan warfare over which party could gain control of the seats of power, patronage and ‘rents’ from financial and real estate transactions. Stock markets rose and fell but inequalities deepened, and debt multiplied, and the markets increasingly depended on state billion-dollar subsidies from national, regional and local governments. The Year 2019:  Continuities and Ruptures Economicstrategies and policies will be at the forefront throughout 2019.  For the business elite the central issue in dispute will be the so-called ‘trade war’, which President Trump and his economic advisers are pursuing against China. If the Trump administration secures concessions from President Xi Jinping, it will be confined to financial openings for US investors and a greater role for US exports.  The US will push a greater role for the Chinese private sector willing to share markets rather than State sector growth. If the US demands wholesale dismantling of China’s state direction and regulation of the economy then a trade war is inevitable. The results will disconnect the entire global economy and disrupt US business linkages. The stock market will plunge, markets will become more volatile and the top 500 multi-nationals will disinvest and suffer deep losses which will ripple throughout the business sector. The US is counting on several allies of dubious reliability.  A sector of the Chinese neo-liberal academic elite is leading the charge to marginalize the role of the state, reduce regulations and limit China’s large scale overseas projects. While influential in some policy sectors, the pro-US academics have yet to dictate policy to the Chinese Communist Party leaders. The US has attempted to create an anti-China alliance, with Asian and EU countries.  The problem is that the US protectionist trade policy is equally prejudicial to these would-be trade allies. Without influential allies in and out of China, the US may attempt to deepen its domestic market and/or turn to increasing its military presence encircling China.  The problem, however, is that Washington under Trump is turning away from military intervention in the Middle East and South Asia and has turned toward a ‘business first’ agenda. In any case the key to the advance or decline of the US economy in 2019 depends on the outcome of the trade war with China. The second problematical area in 2019 is the political war between and within the Pentagon and President Trump’s security operatives. Trump’s business priorities and rapid-fire ousting of Generals promoting losing and costly wars – in Afghanistan, Syria and elsewhere – has provoked a formidable hostile coalition of Democrats controlling Congress, the majority of the Pentagon and their military allies in the mass media. If Trump is able to shift from ‘military’ to ‘economic’ imperialism he will be able to rebuild his domestic support and to finance popular multi-billion-dollar infrastructure projects. If Trump succumbs to the military metaphysics which is promoted by the liberal- neo-conservative-Zionist coalition and falls prey to Middle East wars, Russophobia and China/North Korea war- baiting, the Trump business first coalition will divide and collapse. The domestic economy is likely to end its growth and stagnate unless Trump can convince the business elite to invest in the domestic economy, including higher wages and social spending. A dubious proposition! If Trump relies on the ‘invisible hand’ of the market his domestic protectionist market strategy will fail to sustain growth, regardless of the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy. Conclusion The Year 2019 will experience greater domestic conflicts over issues that intersect between trade and military wars.  The Party disputes will deepen and paralyze policy making .The inability to fashion bi-partisan economic alliances will continue, but party warfare will not prevent any changes in military and social budgets.  If the Democrats sieze the initiative and impose their military agenda, we will witness the prolongation of regional wars and economic stagnation. If Trump triumphs in imposing his economic agenda and reaches a strategic trade agreement with China, the economy will continue to grow but at a snail’s pace as the tax-handout stimulus will not raise investments as profits are pocketed. In sum, 2019 will be a year of great uncertainties in which the divisions between parties, over markets and militarism will deepen, and prevent any decisive shift in strategic policies.  Only a dramatic removal from power of the key political actors in both parties will shift the balance of power between the protagonists of multiple wars and their opposition in popular movements.

Link to original article

Previous Article Resistance Is the Supreme Act of Faith
Next Article Israeli flag trampling spreads in Jordan; Sisi faces fallout
116 Rate this article:
No rating

Leave a comment

Add comment

«June 2019»
Islamic Channels are Fading out | Save Them

Islamic Channels are Fading out | Save Them

Islamic Channels are Fading out | Save ThemDonate here: Gofundme: Paypal: **************************************************************************************************************************************** As'salamu Alaikum Wa Rahmatullahi Wa Barakatuh, Dear viewers! As some of you are aware, it’s a couple of months that YouTube has updated its policies by setting the algorithms so that it targets Islamic content and channels. They removed so many Islamic channels from their partner program while almost none of those channels violated any of their policies. With this they try to fade out the Islamic Dawah. Same thing happened to our channel too… It is the third time that our channel is being targeted by YouTube. First they have banned a video worldwide for couple of hours, then they deleted a video with the claim that it violated their terms and conditions while it wasn’t the case... and recently they have demonetized our channel (the only source that could cover a part of our production costs) again by claiming that our content is violating their terms and conditions while in reality we have never promote violence, or produce inappropriate content. It seems like they want to demotivate us so that we stop producing Islamic contents. But by the will of Allah (swt) that will never happen! Indeed production of a professional content needs huge costs and time. A lot of efforts (e.g. providing topics, doing research, providing footage, making narration, recording, graphics, editing & etc...) goes into making only one video. And we alone are not capable of covering the whole costs since we have no more financial source. Therefore we ask you to join and take part in our dawah mission and support our channel in order to continue with even more amazing contents and to help us educate people around the world about the beautiful religion (ISLAM) and make them come closer to Allah (swt). Currently we are unable to create any patreon page due to some problems. But you can donate to the below gofundme and paypal links: For those brothers/sisters who have problem with the donation campaigns for Islamic channels: Just know that Allah is enough for them, it’s about your responsibility for your religion. They didn’t make these channels to make money out of them, for sure if they were looking for money, they would choose some other ways which would make way more money for them. But they chose to serve for their religion. They all try their best and have their own way of presenting the message of Islam… they face huge problems while making those contents which help you and your children. Be with them Support them to spread the truth And be the cause for guidance of masses In Sha Allah In sha Allah your donation will be counted as (Sadaqah Jaariyah) and will get continues rewards since these contents will reach to millions of viewers by the passage of time. If you can't support us financially, please make Dua for us. Jazzak Allahu Khairan, Rational Believer
Read more
Prophet Muhammad (Saw) Stories | Old Woman And The Prophet Muhammad (Saw) | Quran Stories For Kids

Prophet Muhammad (Saw) Stories | Old Woman And The Prophet Muhammad (Saw) | Quran Stories For Kids

Prophet Muhammad (Saw) Stories | Old Woman And The Prophet Muhammad (Saw) | Quran Stories For KidsAssalamu Alaikum ! A long time ago, there lived an old woman who was carrying a heavy load along the road in the desert. It was a bit difficult for her, but she was managing as best as she could. Prophet Muhammad (pbuh) helped her and took the luggage from the woman and carried it for her. Prophet Muhammad (pbuh) asked the woman that where she was going and why? She said that I am leaving this town as I have heard that a magician named Muhammad is in town. Then what happened ? Will Prophet (SAW) help the old lady? Watch the full episode and learn more!!! We are bringing to you, for the very first time, the Stories of the Prophet (pbuh). The stories are structured to teach your little ones about the life and achievements of Prophet in an easy to understand format. Our videos are ideal for 6-12 year old children, and the adults too can enjoy our videos. Our videos are ideal for 4-12 year old children, and the adults too can enjoy our videos. Each of our videos presents the stories of Prophets from different times. Every video highlights the work of a Prophet, and how He preached the message of Allah (swt). The length of each segment, and the easy to understand narrative makes our videos an ideal teaching resource for parents and teachers. Please support us to keep making more videos! Subscribe our channel for latest updates : Download ► Watch our Prophet Stories : 1. Prophet Adam(as): 2. Prophet Nuh (Noah) (as): 3. Prophet Hud (as): 4. Prophet Salih (Saleh)(as): 5. Prophet Ibrahim (as): 6. Prophet Isma'il (Ishmael): 7. Prophet Ishaq (Isaac) &Prophet Yaqub (as) : 8. Prophet Lut (Lot) (as): 9. Prophet Yaqub (AS): 10. Prophet Shuaib (as) : 11. Prophet Yusuf(as): 12. Prophet Ayyub (as) : 13. Prophet Yunus (Jonah) (as): 14. Prophet Musa (AS) : 15.Prophet Yusha AS & Prophet Hizqeel (AS) : 16.Prophet Shammil (AS) : 17. Prophet Dawud (AS) Story Part - 1 : 18. Prophet Dawud (AS) Story Part-2 : 19. Prophet Sulaiman (AS) : 20. Prophet Isaiah (AS) : 21. Prophet UZAIR(AS) : 22. Prophet Zakariyah (AS) : 23. Prophet Yahya (AS) Story : 24. Prophet Isa (AS) Story Part - 1 : 25. Prophet Isa (AS) Story Part - 2 : 26. Prophet Isa (AS) Story Part - 3 : 27. Prophet Muhammad(saw)Part1: 28. Prophet Muhammad (saw) Part2 : 29. Prophet Muhammad (saw) Part3 : 30. Prophet Muhammad (saw) Part4 : 31. Abbad Ibn Bashir (RA) : 32. Prophet Ibrahim (AS) : 33. Abdullah Ibn Masood (RA) Part 1: 33. Abdullah Ibn Masood (RA) Part 2: 34. Abdullah Ibn Umm Maktum (RA) : 35. Abu Darda (RA) : 36. Abu Ubaidah ibn al-Jarrah (RA) : 37. Noaman Ibn Muqqarin (RA) : 38. Syed Ibn Aamir Al Jumahi (RA) : 39. Abuzar Al Gaffari (RA) : 40. Salman Al Farisi (RA) part 1 : 41. Salman Al Farisi (RA) Part 2 : 42. Hazrat Ammar Ibn Yasir (RA) Part 1 : 43. Hazrat Ammar Ibn Yasir (RA) Part 2 : https
Read more